The iPad is garnering a lot of attention but it likely won’t match the debut of the original iPhone, according to the odds at online bookmaker YouWager.
The site says the iPad has a 72% probability of taking longer to sell one million units than the original iPhone. As you recall, it took the original, non-subsidized iPhone 74 days to sell one million units and that time frame is now a good barometer for the success of hot gadgets.
“No matter what they put out on the market, there’s going to be large sales, but with this particular product, we don’t think it’s as practical as the iPhone,” Brian Sans, developer for YouWager, told BusinessWeek.
I have to agree with the odds and would put my money on the tablet not selling as quickly as the iPhone. I’m still relatively bullish on the iPad because you know it’s going to be a breeze to pick up and use. They still haven’t shown off an extremely compelling use case and this could hurt initial sales. But once you see that smug hipster in the coffee shop with one, or when you can go to an Apple store and get your own greasy fingers on one, I think the sales will steadily pick up.
[Via BusinessWeek]